From the Glengoyne guy · Thread · Price raid · 2026-08-20

A sherried eighteen, thirty under fair value

1/Eighteen years, all sherry cask, and rarely knocked down: Glengoyne 18 is $220 for My Dan Murphy's members this week. Non-members still see $276 on the shelf, where it's sat all along.

2/The reason to look isn't the offer, it's the standing. Glengoyne 18's CE 360° jury of ten reads fair value at about $251, band floor $237. At $220 the members' price is roughly thirty dollars under fair, and below the band — unusual for a bottle that normally trades close to consensus.

3/Rich, dried-fruit, sit-down-after-dinner Highland malt. $220 is a real door price for an aged sherried eighteen as of this morning. A sensible one-bottle splurge, or would you rather two younger drams for the money? Tell me your state's ticket.

Sources

generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-08-20-replay/price-raid/glengoyne-18-year-old-single-malt-scotch-whisky-700ml-bc1ba2; harvest pair base 2026-08-13, latest 2026-08-20.
List price $276 (claim value 276.0; grounding.current_price 276.0; harvest price_list $275.99 both weeks, unchanged). Member offer $220 this week (grounding.current_price_harvest 220.0; harvest price_member $220.00, on_offer yes 2026-08-20); no offer 2026-08-13 (price_member = price_list = $275.99).
CE 360° fair value: mean $250.67, band floor $237.46 (2026-08-20.r dossier glengoyne-18-year-old-single-malt-scotch-neighbourhood.md, reference card; gap over consensus 9.2% = 53rd percentile — it normally trades near consensus, hence "roughly thirty under fair": 250.67 − 220 ≈ 30.67).
Character: factor profile Sherry & Dried Fruit 0.25 (sherry, dried fruit, richness, walnut) — same dossier.

Omissions

No peer prices quoted; the standing rests on the bottle's own CE 360 jury.
Member basis: $220 is a My Dan Murphy's member price; non-members pay the unchanged $276 shelf. Stated in the post.
No percentage move quoted; the piece states the offer's presence, not a trend.

Notes for reviewer

Clears the bar: $220 is under the CE 360 mean ($250.67) and under the band floor ($237.46) — a genuine standing story, and the low base premium (53rd pctl) makes the under-fair read cleaner than the pricier raids the selector passed.
Replay draft on rehearsal vintage 2026-08-20.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Price raid, member basis. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-08-13 → 2026-08-20: list price unchanged at $276 both weeks; the $220 is a My Dan Murphy's member offer present this week and absent last (member-to-member comparison). Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360 fair value ($250.67, 2026-08-20.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false.

Frontmatter as merged

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 "date": "2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "A sherried eighteen, thirty under fair value",
 "angle": "price-raid",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone; the automated replay cycle grounds this on the week's harvest pair and the vintage's CE 360 bands, no spoke article backs it",
 "grounded_on": "2026-08-20.r",
 "may_publish": false,
 "replay": true,
 "review_priority": "standard",
 "artefact_id": "2026-08-20-replay/price-raid/glengoyne-18-year-old-single-malt-scotch-whisky-700ml-bc1ba2",
 "format_note": "Price raid, member basis. Move measured on the harvest pair 2026-08-13 → 2026-08-20: list price unchanged at $276 both weeks; the $220 is a My Dan Murphy's member offer present this week and absent last (member-to-member comparison). Standing read against the bottle's own CE 360 fair value ($250.67, 2026-08-20.r dossier). flag OK, corrected false.",
 "claims": [
  {
   "item": "Glengoyne 18 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
   "value": 276
  }
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 "subjects": [
  "Glengoyne 18 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL"
 ],
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T05:53:06.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-08-20.normalised.csv, as of 2026-08-20)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "751146": 275.99
 },
 "verification_note": "1 price claim(s) verified live",
 "quality_gate": "pass",
 "gated_at": "2026-09-27T05:53:06.000Z",
 "site_publish": true,
 "quality_notes": "soft template-structure: structure 'p2 p3 p4' shared with 1 price-raid draft(s)"
}

premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven

Glengoyne 18 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky

$275.99list 11-05

CE 360° $226.77 · 17.8% over · #26 of 38 in Highlands

per standard drink $11.62 · #30 of 36 in Highlands

16 pieces · observed

source file: drafts/2026-08-20-price-raid-glengoyne-18.md