Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05

From the Pearse Lyons guy · Thread · Similarity surprise · 2026-08-27

The Irish malt the engine calls Glenlivet 12's twin

1/Whisky-Twitter would never shelve a boutique Irish single malt beside Glenlivet 12. The engine does. It ranks Pearse Lyons Founder's Choice 12 and the Speyside everyone's had as its third-closest pair in the whole catalogue.

2/That closeness is flavour make-up, not two glasses poured together. Both sit in the orchard-and-cereal camp, the Pearse carrying a green, citrus-tea edge over the top. Profile arithmetic, nothing more.

3/Both are on a My Dan Murphy's member deal this Thursday. Pearse Lyons is $110 against a $132 shelf; Glenlivet 12 is $74 against $76. On those member prices each dips just under its own peer-group floor and to the bottom of its recent range.

4/Read it straight: Glenlivet 12 is priced about where its jury puts it, and the Pearse only slips under for members. So which 12-year single malt goes in the glass, the everyday Speyside or the Irish one the model calls its match? Both Dan Murphy's.

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-08-27-replay/similarity-surprise/pearse-lyons-founder-s-choice-12-year-old-single-malt-whiske-ac49df, vintage 2026-08-27.r, own-history window as-of 2026-08-27.
  • Pearse Lyons Founder's Choice 12 Year Old Single Malt Whiskey 700mL: shelf/list $132 (claim value 132.0; grounding.ref.price 132.0; harvest price_list $131.99), member offer $110 this week (price_in_window 110.0; harvest price_member $110.00, on_offer yes, 2026-08-27, Stockcode 195824). Band position 'under floor', own-history direction cheap, both axes agree — computed on the $110 member price.
  • The Glenlivet 12 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL: shelf/list $76 (claim value 76.0; grounding.cand.price 76.0; harvest price_list $75.95), member offer $74 this week (price_in_window 74.0; harvest price_member $74.00, on_offer yes, 2026-08-27, Stockcode 93651). Band position 'under floor', own-history direction cheap, both axes agree — computed on the $74 member price.
  • Closeness: CE rank 3 (within the format's cutoff of 10); VSM profile cosine 0.961, VSM rank 10 (candidate.pair, rank_diff 7).
  • Never shelve together: same_country false (Pearse Ireland, Glenlivet Scotland), same_style true (both single malt); payload price_ratio 1.55, below the 2.0 tier threshold, so the split quoted is country/style, not price tier.
  • Character: Pearse Lyons factor profile Orchard & Cereal 0.11 + Yuzu & Green Tea 0.09; Glenlivet 12 Orchard & Cereal 0.12 + Tropical & Rum Cask 0.05 (2026-08-27.r dossiers).

Omissions

  • Light form only: no numeric CE 360 band bounds, no cross-read CEARP, no Welch t-test. The post uses the position labels ('under its floor'), not the numbers.
  • Both value signals are on the member price, not the shelf: on the shelf ($132, $76) neither is under its cohort floor. The post states the member basis rather than leaving it implied.
  • Glenlivet 12's band is very tight and it sits essentially at its jury's number; the 'under floor' read for it is marginal and member-only. Named, not smoothed over.
  • No per-bottle tasting scores asserted; the flavour notes are the dossiers' factor labels only.

Notes for reviewer

  • Flagged: the value read is thin and member-dependent — both bottles are 'under floor' only on this week's My Dan Murphy's member price; Glenlivet 12 is otherwise about at fair value. The surprise (engine's third-closest, Irish malt beside Glenlivet 12) is the load-bearing part, not the value call.
  • Flagged: confirm the price-type discipline — shelf ($132 / $76) and member ($110 / $74) are kept apart, and the band labels are attributed to the member price they were computed on.
  • Replay draft on 2026-08-27.r; may_publish: false and never flips in replay.

Format note

Similarity-surprise, light form: two live tickets, each bottle's band-position label and own-history direction, the pair's CE rank. Full form (numeric CE 360 bands, cross-read CEARP, Welch t-test) is unbuilt in the module and NOT quoted. Both bottles are on a My Dan Murphy's member offer this week; the band-position and own-history labels are computed on the member/in-window price ($110 Pearse, $74 Glenlivet), and the piece says so. The pair splits on country/style origin, not price tier: payload price_ratio 1.55 is below the 2.0 tier threshold, so the surprise rests on Irish-vs-Scottish single malt, not the price gap.

Frontmatter as merged
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