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From the Glenfiddich guy · Thread · Value pick · 2026-09-10

A Glen Grant 18 does most of the Gran Reserva's job for $146 less

1/The Glenfiddich Gran Reserva 21 is $331 on the shelf this week. Until last week a member could have it for $273; that offer has now ended, so for a member it costs more than it did.

2/The engine's second-closest match to it on flavour make-up is The Glen Grant 18, another Scottish single malt. That one keeps its price at $185. Same country, same style, one hundred and forty-six dollars apart.

3/The Glen Grant 18 is Speyside sherry-and-oak territory — an older single malt that has spent its whole life pointed at drinking rather than shelf appeal. Not the Gran Reserva's twenty-one years, but close company by profile.

4/Not the same whisky, and not a like-for-like pour. It's profile geometry: the model ranks the Glen Grant 18 second of the Gran Reserva's matches. $331 for the 21, or $185 for the 18? What's it going for near you?

Sources

  • generate_cycle.py replay payload, artefact 2026-09-10-replay/value-pick/glenfiddich-gran-reserva-21-year-old-single-malt-scotch-whis-05e7f7, grounded on vintage 2026-09-10.r; harvest pair base 2026-09-03, latest 2026-09-10 (grounding.trigger.base_harvest / latest_harvest).
  • Glenfiddich Gran Reserva 21: shelf ticket $331 this week (claim value 331.0; grounding.ref.price_this_harvest 331.0); last week $273 as a member offer (grounding.ref.price_last_harvest 273.0, grounding.ref.member_offer_last_harvest true; grounding.trigger.member_offer_ended true; grounding.ref.member_offer false this week).
  • The Glen Grant 18: shelf ticket $185 (claim value 185.0; grounding.cand.price_this_harvest 185.0), not a member offer this week or last (grounding.cand.member_offer false, member_offer_last_harvest false).
  • Saving $146 (grounding.saving 146.0 = 331 − 185); price ratio 0.56 (grounding.ratio 0.5589); "one hundred and forty-six dollars apart" is the saving spelled out.
  • Engine pairing: The Glen Grant 18 is CE rank 2 in the Gran Reserva 21's cohort (grounding.ce_rank 2; ce_score 0.149498) and VSM rank 12 (grounding.vsm_rank 12; vsm_score 0.812007). Same country and style (grounding.same_country true, same_style true).

Omissions

  • Light form: no CE 360° jury for the reference, so this post does not say what the Gran Reserva's own cohort reads it worth — only what it costs on the shelf. No CE 360° band is shown for the candidate either.
  • The reference "got dearer" only in the sense that a member offer ended; the movement from $273 to $331 is disclosed as an offer lapsing, never as a repricing or a price rise.
  • No peer beyond the engine's second-ranked match is examined; a closer stand-in may exist that was not live-checked this cycle.

Notes for reviewer

None recorded.

Format note

Value pick, automated light form. The module payload carries two shelf tickets, the engine's ranks and scores, the saving and the week's event; it does NOT carry the reference's CE 360 jury, so there is no ten-seats read of the Gran Reserva here, and I open on the shelf ticket instead. The trigger is the reference getting dearer: a member offer on the Gran Reserva 21 ended ($273 for a member last week → $331 shelf this week) — disclosed as an offer ending, never as a repricing. Shelf basis this week. Candidate ranks in the reference's CE top-5 (CE rank 2, VSM rank 12).

Frontmatter as merged
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 "date": "2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "A Glen Grant 18 does most of the Gran Reserva's job for $146 less",
 "angle": "value-pick",
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 "status": "draft",
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  {
   "item": "Glenfiddich Gran Reserva 21 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
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  },
  {
   "item": "The Glen Grant 18YO Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL",
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 "subjects": [
  "Glenfiddich Gran Reserva 21 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL",
  "The Glen Grant 18YO Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL"
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 "format_note": "Value pick, automated light form. The module payload carries two shelf tickets, the engine's ranks and scores, the saving and the week's event; it does NOT carry the reference's CE 360 jury, so there is no ten-seats read of the Gran Reserva here, and I open on the shelf ticket instead. The trigger is the reference getting dearer: a member offer on the Gran Reserva 21 ended ($273 for a member last week → $331 shelf this week) — disclosed as an offer ending, never as a repricing. Shelf basis this week. Candidate ranks in the reference's CE top-5 (CE rank 2, VSM rank 12).",
 "verified_at": "2026-09-27T07:08:05.000Z",
 "verified_by": "etl/price_verify.py (harvest sidecar danmurphys_whisky_products_2026-09-10.normalised.csv, as of 2026-09-10)",
 "verified_prices": {
  "593347": 184.99,
  "904301": 330.99
 },
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premium over CE 360° · shared scale 0% to +70% across the eleven
source file: drafts/2026-09-10-value-pick-glenfiddich-gran-reserva-21-glen-grant-18.md