From the Speyside guy · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-09-10

One Speyside malt sits 58% over its jury; the fair end barely 1%

1/The distance across Speyside this week runs from a bottle sitting eight-tenths of a percent above its own jury to one sitting more than 58% above it. Same region, same fair-value yardstick. Seventy-five bottles, all priced live at Dan Murphy's this Thursday.

2/Ranked by how far each price sits over the fair value its own 360° jury gives it. Percent, not dollars — the range is too wide to read otherwise, entry blends up to nearly $800. Nothing here dips below its mean, so the hot end is "closest to fair", never a discount.

3/The fair end is entry Speyside, all live this week. Glen Moray Classic litre at $88, about eight-tenths of a percent over. Its Shiraz Finish at $72. Grant's Triple Wood litre at $68. A rung back, Glen Moray Classic 700 at $71 and Glen Grant Arboralis at $71.

4/Reads the way Speyside reads: sherry and dark fruit, apple, a little rum-cask sweetness, American oak underneath. Pooled from the shelf's own reviews, region-wide. Honest whisky, priced honestly.

5/The cold end is where I'd slow down. Chivas Regal Ultis, $285, sits about 58% over its own mean — the widest gap on the shelf by a distance, and roughly double the next one along. That's the whole shelf's outlier, and it's a live price, not a stale one.

6/Behind it the age tax does the rest. Glenfiddich Grand Cru 23 at $559, near 28% over. Aberlour A'Bunadh at $155, about 25%. Glenfarclas 25 at $390 and Tomintoul 25 at $733 sit close behind, mid-twenties each.

7/So the tidy read: Speyside's fair value lives at the bottom of the shelf, and the premiums climb with age — bar one blended malt that stands well clear of the field. Cheaper honest pour this Thursday, Glen Moray Classic litre at $88 or Grant's Triple Wood litre at $68?

Sources

Coverage: 75 of 75 members priced live in the 2026-09-10 harvest (100%) — generate_cycle.py whole-shelf grounding.coverage.
CE 360° means and gaps, per item — region-speyside-aggregate.json (top/bottom gap movers), vintage 2026-09-10.r.
Shelf character words (region-level, parent-relative, pooled over 68 reviews): sherry, rum, speyside, banana, dark, apple, casks, dram, american, sufficient — grounding.words. No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.

End	Item	Price	Gap %	Priced
Hot 1	Glen Moray Classic Single Malt Scotch Whisky 1L	$88	+0.78%	observed 2026-09-10
Hot 2	Glen Moray Shiraz Finish Whisky 700mL	$72	+0.81%	observed 2026-09-10
Hot 3	Grant's Triple Wood Blended Scotch Whisky 1L	$68	+0.81%	observed 2026-09-10
(hot)	Glen Moray Classic Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$71	+0.82%	observed 2026-09-10
(hot)	The Glen Grant Arboralis Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$71	+0.87%	observed 2026-09-10
Cold 1	Chivas Regal Ultis Blended Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$285	+58.73%	observed 2026-09-10
Cold 2	Glenfiddich Grand Cru 23 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$559	+28.08%	observed 2026-09-10
Cold 3	Aberlour A'Bunadh Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$155	+25.48%	observed 2026-09-10
(cold)	Glenfarclas 25 Year Old Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$390	+25.37%	observed 2026-09-10
(cold)	Tomintoul 25YO Speyside Single Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL	$733	+23.27%	observed 2026-09-10

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

None recorded.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Speyside (region), vintage 2026-09-10.r (pack region-speyside-aggregate.json). Gap basis PERCENTAGE (the aggregate's own, chosen by its wide $50.99–$799.99 price range). ce_gap_pct = (price − CE 360° mean)/price × 100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot' = smallest premium (closest to fair value), 'cold' = largest. No bottle here sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain or a discount. 'Hot'/'cold' are value-signal labels only, never sales velocity, popularity, or trend. Coverage 75 of 75 members priced live in the 2026-09-10 harvest (100%). Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full ranked shelf.

Frontmatter as merged

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source file: drafts/2026-09-10-whole-shelf-speyside.md