1/The widest gap over its own jury on the bourbon shelf isn't the $1000 Pappy. It's a $50 bottle — High West American Prairie, nearly 47% over — while Buffalo Trace, Ezra Brooks and Basil Hayden sit near fair. All 38 priced live at Dan Murphy's today; 11 moved since last look.
2/How I read it: each price against the fair value its own jury gives it, in percent. Nothing here dips under its mean, so the near end is "least over", not a discount. A cheap bottle can still sit furthest from fair; dear and over-its-jury are two different things.
3/The least-over end, all live. Basil Hayden's at $80, barely half a percent past its jury. Ezra Brooks at $70, +0.78%. Buffalo Trace at $56, +1.33%. These three are close enough to fair that the jury and the shelf basically agree.
4/The words behind the pour, pooled off the shelf's own reviews, category-wide: vanilla and caramel, honey and toffee, a dried-leather edge, a seam of rye. That's the house style of bourbon as the shelf speaks it. Not a note on any single bottle — the character of the category.
5/The dear end. High West American Prairie, just $50, lands nearly 47% over its own low jury number — the widest gap here, and a real live price, not a stale one. Cheap on the shelf, dear against its own mean. Behind it the two Old Rip Van Winkles, $1000 and $900, both near 29%.
6/So the tidy read: on this shelf, cheap and fair don't always travel together. The closest-to-jury pours are Buffalo Trace, Ezra Brooks and Basil Hayden; the $50 High West carries the biggest gap. Pouring tonight — the $56 Buffalo Trace or the $70 Ezra Brooks?
| End | Item | Price | Gap % | Priced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot 1 | Basil Hayden's Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $80 | +0.54% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| Hot 2 | Ezra Brooks Kentucky Straight Bourbon 700mL | $70 | +0.78% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| Hot 3 | Buffalo Trace Bourbon 700mL | $56 | +1.33% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| (hot) | Wild Turkey Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 81 proof 1Litre | $72 | +2.09% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| (hot) | Old Virginia 12 Year Old Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $81 | +2.28% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| Cold 1 | High West Distillery American Prairie Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $50 | +46.68% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| Cold 2 | Old Rip Van Winkle 12 Year Old Special Reserve 750mL | $1000 | +29.05% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| Cold 3 | Old Rip Van Winkle 10 Year Old 107 Proof Bourbon Whiskey 700mL | $900 | +29.04% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| (cold) | Blanton's Straight From The Barrel Bourbon 700mL | $304 | +26.86% | observed 2026-10-01 |
| (cold) | Jim Beam Pineapple 700mL | $56 | +26.68% | observed 2026-10-01 |
None recorded.
Whole Shelf, scope Bourbon (whisky_style), vintage 2026-10-01.1, pack whisky_style-bourbon-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 38 of 38 priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%). Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full ranked shelf.
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