From the front page · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-01

Proper Twelve lands on its number while McConnell's runs 45% past

1/The Irish shelf has two bottles sitting almost dead on their own 360° jury: Proper Twelve and Jameson. The widest drift is the surprise — McConnell's Belfast and Teeling's pot still. All 28 priced live at Dan Murphy's, the whole shelf; 11 of 28 moved since last look.

2/How I'm reading it: each price set against the fair value its own ten-seat jury gives that bottle, in percent. Nothing on this shelf dips under its own mean. So the near end is "least over", not a discount and not a bargain. Just closest to fair.

3/The least-over end, all live. Proper No. Twelve 1L at $91, a whisker past its jury at +0.39%. The Dubliner 700mL at $73, +0.68%. Finnlaighs 1L at $72, +1.29%. Behind them Jameson 1L ($77, +1.41%) and Powers Three Swallows ($79, +1.81%). Honest pricing, top to bottom.

4/The words behind the shelf, pooled off its own reviews, country-wide: pot still, stout, orchard fruit, raisin, gingerbread. A little buzz on the start. That's the Irish character the shelf trades on, not a tasting note for any single bottle.

5/The dear end. McConnell's Belfast at $83 sits +45.32% over its own mean, the widest gap here and a live price, not a stale one. Teeling's Single Pot Still at $97, +33.02%. Then Midleton Very Rare at $434, +22.06%. Big ticket, and still a real gap, not an artefact.

6/So the tidy read: an Irish shelf with a floor and no bargain, but two bottles sitting right on their number. Twenty-eight priced, the least-over pours are Proper Twelve, the Dubliner and Finnlaighs. Easy weeknight pour for $72, the Finnlaighs 1L or the $77 Jameson?

Sources

Coverage: 28 of 28 members priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
Price band $54.99–$433.99, median $82.49; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $82.72 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
Shelf character words (country-level, parent-relative, pooled over 23 reviews): pot, stout, orchard, raisin, gingerbread, buzz — grounding.words (noise tokens "irish", "whiskey", "seems", "starts" dropped). No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.
Cool-down (decision 15): Ireland (country): led 2026-09-10-whole-shelf-ireland.md 21 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 11 of 28 bottles changed price or 360° zone (39%; the bar is 10%) (2026-09-10.r to 2026-10-01.1)

End	Item	Price	Gap %	Priced
Hot 1	Proper No. Twelve Irish Whiskey 1L	$91	+0.39%	observed 2026-10-01
Hot 2	Dubliner Irish Whiskey 700mL	$73	+0.68%	observed 2026-10-01
Hot 3	Finnlaighs Irish Whiskey 1L	$72	+1.29%	observed 2026-10-01
(hot)	Jameson Blended Irish Whiskey 1L	$77	+1.41%	observed 2026-10-01
(hot)	Powers Three Swallows Whiskey 700mL	$79	+1.81%	observed 2026-10-01
Cold 1	McConnell's Belfast Blended Irish Whisky 700mL	$83	+45.32%	observed 2026-10-01
Cold 2	Teeling Single Pot Still Irish Whiskey 700mL	$97	+33.02%	observed 2026-10-01
Cold 3	Midleton Very Rare Irish Whiskey 700mL	$434	+22.06%	observed 2026-10-01
(cold)	Proper No. Twelve Irish Whiskey 700mL	$67	+16.63%	observed 2026-10-01
(cold)	Tullamore Dew Irish Whiskey 700mL	$63	+16.13%	observed 2026-10-01

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

This scope led a merged thread 21 days back; it leads again under decision 15 because the finding changed, stated in post 1 as the 11-of-28 move count. Cool-down line carried verbatim in Sources.
"Hot"/"cold" used strictly as value-signal labels (least/most over each bottle's own jury), never velocity or trend. No ce_gap_pct is negative, so no post implies a bargain.
Two editions of Proper No. Twelve appear on the shelf: the 1L sits at Hot 1 (+0.39%), the 700mL in the cold tail (+16.63%). Both are genuine Irish members, not a dedupe quirk; post 1 and post 3 name only the 1L to avoid conflating them.
Midleton Very Rare at $434 is the price-band ceiling and a true live figure.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Ireland (country), vintage 2026-10-01.1, pack country-ireland-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 28 of 28 priced live in the 2026-10-01 harvest (100%). Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full ranked shelf.

Frontmatter as merged

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source file: drafts/2026-10-01-whole-shelf-ireland.md