Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05

From the Blends guy · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-15

Blends shelf: the value end is cheap grocery Scotch and Irish

1/Most of the blends shelf asks a little over fair; one bottle, Ballantine's Finest, sits exactly on its mark. I sorted all 77 blends by style, Scotch, Irish and Japanese, each priced live at Dan Murphy's. Near end: cheap grocery Scotch and Irish. Far end: Japanese and old Irish.

2/Count since the last blends thread a fortnight ago: 55 of the 77 now show a different price or a different zone against their own jury. That is 71% of the shelf. A fresh read, then, not a rerun of the 1 October one. Just a count, not a direction.

3/How I measure it: each bottle set against the consensus of its own ten-seat tasting panel, expressed as how far its price sits above that number. Every bottle here prices higher than its panel figure. So "hot" just means smallest gap above, not a deal.

4/Sitting right on the line is Ballantine's Finest, a litre at $69, level with its mean at 0%. Then Cutty Sark 700 at $59, Proper No. Twelve a litre at $91, Paddy 700 at $58, and the Johnnie Walker Red 1.125L at $79, all within 1%. Watch the sizes there.

5/Pooling what every review on this shelf says together: smoke, chocolate, a scotch-and-blends thread, the word accessible. That captures the blends category as a whole, across 64 reviews. It describes no bottle named above. Filler like "take" and the brand token "grant" I dropped.

6/Far end is Japanese and old Irish. Midleton Very Rare $434, about 35% above its mean. Hibiki Harmony 2021 at $730, near 34%. Then Nikka From The Barrel (a 500) $77, Chivas 25 at $646. Most honest blend this week is the $58 Paddy, unless I missed one. What's it going for near you?

Sources

  • Coverage: 77 of 77 members priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
  • Price band $51.95–$730.00, median $74.99; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $88.65 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
  • Shelf character words (style-level, parent-relative, pooled over 64 reviews): smoke, chocolate, scotch, blends, american, accessible — grounding.words (noise/self-referential tokens "blended", "whisky", "take", and the brand token "grant" set aside as non-descriptive or self-referential). No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle.
  • Non-700mL headlined sizes: Ballantine's Finest (1L), Proper No. Twelve (1L), Johnnie Walker Red Label (1.125L), Nikka From The Barrel (500mL). Named in-post so the dollar figures are read per-bottle, not per-volume.
  • Cool-down (decision 15): Blended (whisky_style): led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-blended.md 14 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 55 of 77 bottles changed price or 360° zone (71%; the bar is 10%) (2026-10-01.1 to 2026-10-15.1). The "55 of 77" count is the cool-down change figure, not a claims entry; it is a count of how many bottles differ from the earlier build, stated as a plain observation, never a trend or repricing claim.
End Item Price Gap % Priced
Hot 1 Ballantine's Finest Blended Scotch Whisky 1L $69 +0.00% observed 2026-10-15
Hot 2 Cutty Sark Original Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $59 +0.14% observed 2026-10-15
Hot 3 Proper No. Twelve Irish Whiskey 1L $91 +0.34% observed 2026-10-15
(hot) Paddy Irish Whiskey 700mL $58 +0.38% observed 2026-10-15
(hot) Johnnie Walker Red Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1.125L $79 +0.56% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 1 Midleton Very Rare Irish Whiskey 700mL $434 +34.84% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 2 Hibiki Japanese Harmony 2021 Limited Edition Blended Whisky 700mL $730 +33.60% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 3 Nikka Whisky From The Barrel Japanese Whisky 500mL $77 +22.85% observed 2026-10-15
(cold) Chivas Regal 25 Year Old Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $646 +21.17% observed 2026-10-15
(cold) Hibiki Harmony Whisky 700mL $176 +18.71% observed 2026-10-15

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

  • Flagged: repeat scope. Blended (whisky_style) last led a thread on 2026-10-01, which clears the 4-week cool-down only because its finding changed (55 of 77 bottles moved price or 360° zone since, 71%). The post states that change as a dated count, not as a trend or a market move; please confirm post 2 does not read as "prices are rising/falling".
  • "Hot"/"cold" are value labels only (premium over each bottle's own jury), never sales velocity or a trend; no bottle sits under its own mean (Ballantine's Finest is exactly at its mean, +0.0%), so nothing here is a discount.
  • Non-700mL sizes are headlined in posts 4 and 6 (1L, 1.125L, 500mL) so the prices are not misread as per-volume comparisons.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Blended (whisky_style), vintage 2026-10-15.1, pack whisky_style-blended-aggregate.json. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain or a discount. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. This is the by-style blends shelf: 77 blends across countries (Scotch, Irish, Japanese). Coverage 77 of 77 priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%). Repeat scope: last led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-blended.md 14 days earlier — CHANGED (55 of 77 bottles moved price or 360° zone, 71%, bar 10%), so it may lead again and the post states what changed. Several members are not 700mL (1L, 1.125L, 500mL) — sizes named in post. Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full 77-bottle ranking.

Frontmatter as merged
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source file: drafts/2026-10-15-whole-shelf-blended.md