Scotch at Dan Murphy's, priced every Thursday. Lagavulin 16 and the ten bottles that define it.
Dan Murphy's · week of 2026-11-05

From the Blends guy · Thread · The whole shelf · 2026-10-15

Blends shelf: the value end is litre-bottle Johnnie and Ballantine's

1/The blended-Scotch shelf offers no bargains this week, only well-known names at full price. It's the catch-all for blends from across Scotland, in no single region. Twenty-seven bottles, each priced live at Dan Murphy's. Cheap end, big-format; dear end, prestige.

2/I last covered this shelf a fortnight back. Since then, seventeen of the twenty-seven have a different price or have swapped the zone they fall in against their own jury — call it sixty-three per cent. That earns a fresh look rather than a rerun.

3/The method: hold each ticket up to the fair value set by its own ten-seat jury, measured as how far above that mark it sits. Every bottle lands at or above its mean, none beneath it, so "closest" here means the smallest overshoot — still no discount.

4/Bottle size carries a lot here. Ballantine's Finest litre at $69 lands exactly on its mean, nothing over. Cutty Sark 700mL $59 is next. Then Johnnie Walker Red, 1.125L at $79 and litre at $69, and McAllister 1.5L at $97, furthest out at +1.12%. None of the five clears that.

5/Pool the shelf's own reviews and most of it is filler: "many", "leading", "impressive" — none telling you how a dram tastes. Scrape that off and caramel and a peppery edge remain. Read it as a faint signal across the whole shelf, never a verdict on any single bottle above.

6/Dear end, the prestige tier. Compass Box Peat Monster $102, roughly 18% over its mean. Johnnie Walker Blue litre $366, near 17%, the 700 at $242. Then Monkey Shoulder 1L $115, Green Label $107. Most honest buy looks like the $59 Cutty Sark — unless your local beats it. Tell me.

Sources

  • Coverage: 27 of 27 members priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%) — grounding.coverage (n_observed/n_members).
  • Price band $51.95–$365.99, median $79.99; scope-average CE 360° mean ≈ $74.09 — grounding.price_band, grounding.ce_360_mean_avg.
  • Bottle sizes vary across the shelf and are named where quoted: Ballantine's Finest 1L, Johnnie Walker Red 1.125L and 1L, McAllister 1.5L, Johnnie Walker Blue 1L and 700mL, Monkey Shoulder 1L. Not every headlined size is 700mL; the gap is per-bottle against that bottle's own mean, so the litre and the 700 of one label can differ.
  • Shelf character words (region-level, parent-relative, pooled over 22 reviews): the pooled set is largely non-descriptive ("seeds", "many", "grant", "scotch", "leading", "impressive", "provide" set aside as noise or self-referential); the descriptive residue is caramel and a peppercorn note — grounding.words. No per-bottle tasting notes are asserted; the words describe the shelf, not any one bottle, and are a thin read on only 22 reviews.
  • Cool-down (decision 15): Multi-Regional Blend (region): led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-multi-regional-blend.md 14 day(s) earlier — CHANGED, may lead again; the piece must say what changed: 17 of 27 bottles changed price or 360° zone (63%; the bar is 10%) (2026-10-01.1 to 2026-10-15.1). The "17 of 27" count is the cool-down change figure, not a claims entry; it is a count of how many bottles differ from the earlier build, stated as a plain observation, never a trend or repricing claim.
End Item Price Gap % Priced
Hot 1 Ballantine's Finest Blended Scotch Whisky 1L $69 +0.00% observed 2026-10-15
Hot 2 Cutty Sark Original Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $59 +0.14% observed 2026-10-15
Hot 3 Johnnie Walker Red Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1.125L $79 +0.56% observed 2026-10-15
(hot) Johnnie Walker Red Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1L $69 +0.60% observed 2026-10-15
(hot) McAllister Blended Scotch Whisky 1.5L $97 +1.12% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 1 Compass Box The Peat Monster Blended Malt Scotch Whisky 700mL $102 +17.78% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 2 Johnnie Walker Blue Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1L $366 +16.79% observed 2026-10-15
Cold 3 Monkey Shoulder Blended Malt Scotch Whisky 1L $115 +16.54% observed 2026-10-15
(cold) Johnnie Walker Blue Label Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $242 +16.24% observed 2026-10-15
(cold) Johnnie Walker Green Label Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL $107 +8.67% observed 2026-10-15

Omissions

None recorded.

Notes for reviewer

  • Flagged: repeat scope. Multi-Regional Blend last led a thread on 2026-10-01, which clears the 4-week cool-down only because its finding changed (17 of 27 bottles moved price or 360° zone since, 63%). The post states that change as a dated count, not as a trend or a market move; please confirm post 2 does not read as "prices are rising/falling".
  • This scope is the non-geographic catch-all, not a region on the map; post 1 frames it as the across-Scotland blends shelf. Confirm it does not read as a place.
  • "Hot"/"cold" are value labels only (premium over each bottle's own jury), never sales velocity or a trend; no bottle sits under its own mean, so nothing here is a discount. Ballantine's Finest 1L at +0.00% is at its mean, not below it.
  • Pooled words are thin and mostly non-descriptive (22 reviews); the post leans on that openly rather than asserting a flavour. Confirm no per-bottle tasting claim is implied.

Format note

Whole Shelf, scope Multi-Regional Blend (region), vintage 2026-10-15.1, pack region-multi-regional-blend-aggregate.json. This is the non-geographic catch-all: blends drawn from across Scotland that belong to no single region, not a place on the map. Gap basis PERCENTAGE; ce_gap_pct=(price−CE 360° mean)/price×100, each bottle's premium over its own CE 360° consensus; 'hot'=smallest premium (least over fair value), 'cold'=largest. No bottle sits below its own mean, so 'hot' is not a bargain or a discount. 'Hot'/'cold' are value labels only, never velocity or trend. Coverage 27 of 27 priced live in the 2026-10-15 harvest (100%). Several members are headlined in non-700mL sizes (1L, 1.125L, 1.5L); sizes are named where quoted. Repeat scope: last led 2026-10-01-whole-shelf-multi-regional-blend.md 14 days earlier — CHANGED (17 of 27 bottles moved price or 360° zone, 63%, bar 10%), so it may lead again and the post states what changed. Sources holds the stored top/bottom notable-mover cut, not the full 27-bottle ranking.

Frontmatter as merged
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 "date": "2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z",
 "title": "Blends shelf: the value end is litre-bottle Johnnie and Ballantine's",
 "angle": "whole-shelf",
 "position": "n/a",
 "status": "draft",
 "derives_from": "none — standalone whole-shelf roundup; no long-form article backs it this cycle",
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  {
   "item": "Johnnie Walker Blue Label Blended Scotch Whisky 1L",
   "kind": "value",
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  {
   "item": "Monkey Shoulder Blended Malt Scotch Whisky 1L",
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  {
   "item": "Monkey Shoulder Blended Malt Scotch Whisky 1L",
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  {
   "item": "Johnnie Walker Blue Label Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL",
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  {
   "item": "Johnnie Walker Blue Label Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "value",
   "value": 16.24
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  {
   "item": "Johnnie Walker Green Label Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL",
   "kind": "price",
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  {
   "item": "Johnnie Walker Green Label Blended Scotch Whisky 700mL",
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   "value": 8.67
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  "83449": 96.99,
  "93472": 241.9,
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  "265522": 114.99,
  "761305": 101.99,
  "900934": 68.9,
  "903258": 106.99,
  "903929": 58.99
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source file: drafts/2026-10-15-whole-shelf-multi-regional-blend.md